Jets (-6) at Denver
Even looking at this game before the season (without any of the hindsight we have now), I'm not sure why the NFL Network thought this game was the best fit for this week's Thursday Night game. The Broncos weren't supposed to be good at the start of the season; and so far, they're holding up their end of the bargain. The Jets were considered to be good before the season and, lo and behold, they are a quality team. So this has been a mismatch from the start. Still, in this wacky, Tebow-filled world, the Broncos have managed to get to 4-5. They even beat the Chiefs last week with an old school, run heavy "T-Bone" offense, with Tim Tebow completing two passes...for the whole game. It may have worked last week, but I don't see it working against a very angry Jets team, sore after losing to the Patriots. The Jets will be able to stuff the box, denying the run, and have the ability in the defensive backfield to leave their corners in man-to-man situations. Basically, the Jets can put about eight or even nine people in the box, lock Darrell Revis on Eric Decker (or whoever the #1 receiver is on the Broncos in the post- Brandon Lloyd era), and capably cover the other receivers. Tebow will be forced to throw, and that's usually not pretty. On the other side of the ball, the Jets aren't amazing on offense- see: last week, when they got effectively shut down by the Patriots defense- but they should be able to put up enough points against an improving, but not great, Broncos defense. It won't be a pretty game, or high scoring, but the Jets should take it.
Pick: Jets win, cover
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